AI bubble, Capex and depreciation
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The AI Bubble, The Big Short, and The Accounting Mistake: Why Burry Got Depreciation Wrong

Michael Burry is back in the headlines. It looks like he is reloading the “Big Short” cannon—this time aiming at the AI sector. We’re talking about a reported $1.1 billion notional short against NVIDIA and Palantir. (However, there were recent reports stating that Burry has already exited this trade.) His thesis isn’t about the technology failing. It’s…

CAPE ratio
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Is the Stock Market Overvalued? What the Shiller CAPE Ratio Says About Future Returns.

A deep dive into one of Wall Street’s most reliable long-term indicators—and why its warning signals in 2025 are more complicated than they appear. It’s the question on every investor’s mind as we head into the final months of 2025: After a remarkable run, is the stock market dangerously overvalued? Pick your favorite news headline,…

Spotting the Next Financial Crisis
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A Modern Playbook for Spotting the Next Financial Crisis

Financial crises are often spoken of in the past tense, like historical cataclysms or “black swan” events that arrive without warning. But what if they aren’t? What if, instead of random bolts from the blue, they are the predictable final act of a long, slow, and observable process? The economists Hyman Minsky and Charles Kindleberger…

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Understanding Quantitative Tightening (QT) and impact on Treasury Yields

The Federal Reserve is in the midst of one of the most significant monetary policy operations in its history: the great unwinding of its multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet. This process, known as Quantitative Tightening (QT), is the reversal of the massive bond-buying programs (Quantitative Easing, or QE) that supported the economy through the 2008 financial crisis…

Reverse Repurchase Agreement
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The Great Reallocation: How $2.5 Trillion Left the Fed Without Breaking Markets

Between mid-2023 and early 2025, a staggering ~$2.5 trillion quietly vanished from a key Federal Reserve facility. This cash hoard, held in the Fed’s Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreement (ON RRP) facility, had ballooned after the pandemic, serving as a parking lot for money market funds (MMFs) awash in liquidity. Its rapid decline sparked fears of…

Is gold truly a safe haven?
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Is Gold Still the Ultimate Safe Haven? A Data-Driven Guide for Investors

Gold has been on a historic run, smashing records and leaving many investors wondering: Is it time to add some shine to my portfolio? For centuries, gold has been the go-to asset in times of trouble. When markets panic, the old wisdom says to buy gold.    But does that wisdom still hold true? The answer is…

yield curve recession-indicator broken
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Is the Yield Curve Still the Market’s Best Recession Predictor?

For decades, Wall Street traders have watched one indicator above all others to predict economic downturns: the inverted yield curve. When short-term Treasury rates climb above long-term rates, investors brace for recession. But after the longest inversion in recent history failed to produce the recession it promised, a critical question emerges: has this legendary signal…

IFRS 18 and impact on equity research
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IFRS 18: Navigating the New Era of Performance Reporting and Why Your Operating Profit Is About to Change

The issuance of IFRS 18, Presentation and Disclosure in Financial Statements, by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) in April 2024, marks the most significant shift in the presentation of financial statements in over two decades. This is not a simple update; it is a comprehensive response to demands from the global investment community for…

Copper prices are surging
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The Copper Crunch: Why Your Electric Car Dreams Are Getting More Expensive

And other inconvenient truths about the metal that powers our green future Remember when we all thought going electric would be simple? Buy a Tesla, install some solar panels, pat ourselves on the back for saving the planet. Well, I’ve got some news that might make your eco-friendly wallet a little lighter: we’re running out…

The Great Small-Cap Mystery:
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The Great Small-Cap Mystery: How Python Revealed Wall Street’s Best-Kept Secret

You know that feeling when you’re scrolling through your phone and suddenly see something that makes you do a double-take? That’s exactly what happened to me last week while running some Python code on small-cap stocks. The numbers were so extreme, I thought my script was broken. Spoiler alert: it wasn’t. The Tale of Two…