Chart showing University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
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Consumer Sentiment: When Americans Stop Believing in Tomorrow

Imagine if you could measure the collective mood of 330 million Americans about their financial future, boil it down to a single number, and use that to predict when the economy might tank. Sounds like science fiction, right? Well, welcome to the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index—arguably one of the most underappreciated crystal balls…

Continuing Claims Python
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Beyond the Initial Shock: Continuing Unemployment Claims Tell the Real Story

Okay, so the check engine light—our initial unemployment claims—is blinking. We pulled the car over in our prior post, and the reading of 247,000 has us, and a lot of economists, looking under the hood with a concerned frown. But that first alert is just that: an alert. It tells you a problem just happened….

Chart showing U.S. initial unemployment claims rising to 247,000 in May 2025, the highest level in 8 months, indicating potential labor market softening
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Initial Unemployment Claims: The Economic Canary in the Coal Mine

Picture this: You’re driving down the highway, and your car’s check engine light starts blinking. Do you ignore it and keep cruising? Or do you pull over to investigate before your engine seizes up completely? Initial unemployment claims are basically the economy’s check engine light—and right now, that light is blinking pretty frantically. The latest…

Decode housing market signals and future construction trends with Python analysis
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Housing’s Tale of Two Markets: Starts vs. Permits Divergence

Welcome to the economic equivalent of a rom-com plot twist. In April 2025, the U.S. housing market decided to defy conventional wisdom by having housing starts rise 1.6% to 1.361 million units while building permits—which are supposed to predict future starts—fell 4.7% to 1.412 million units. It’s like having your GPS tell you to turn left…

Durable Goods Orders Analysis: Manufacturing Volatility Signals Economic Uncertainty in 2025
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Durable Goods Orders Analysis: Manufacturing Volatility Signals Economic Uncertainty in 2025

If the Conference Board LEI is the economy’s smoke detector, then durable goods orders are like your neighbor’s car alarm—loud, attention-grabbing, and going off at seemingly random times, but occasionally signaling something actually important is happening. Welcome back to our deep dive into U.S. economic indicators, where we decode the signals that Wall Street obsesses…

A line chart showing the U.S. Leading Economic Index (LEI) from 2015 to April 2025, with a sharp drop highlighted in red at the end of the chart, signaling a potential economic slowdown.
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Decoding the Data: What the U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Are Really Telling Us (Part 1)

Alright, let’s talk about the economy. If you’re like me, you hear a dizzying cloud of data points every day—GDP this, inflation that. It feels like trying to read tea leaves in a hurricane. But what if we had a better way to see where things might be headed? Enter the U.S. Leading Economic Indicators…

Python FRED jobless claims analysis
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Python & FRED: Tracking Jobless Claims to Gauge Market Sentiment

Understanding labor market dynamics is crucial for gauging economic health and market sentiment . Jobless claims data, released weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor, provides one of the most timely indicators of economic conditions. This comprehensive guide demonstrates how to leverage Python and the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) API to retrieve, analyze, and visualize unemployment claims…

Discover how artificial intelligence will reshape the US economy, workforce, and society by 2030. Explore key sectors, job trends, investment surges, and policy shifts driving the AI revolution in America.
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How Artificial Intelligence Will Transform America by 2030

The United States stands at the precipice of an artificial intelligence revolution that will fundamentally reshape the economy, workforce, and society over the next three to five years. With AI investments surging and new policies removing regulatory barriers, America is positioning itself to maintain global AI dominance while navigating unprecedented technological transformation. Economic Impact: Trillions…

Google's various services (Search, YouTube, Android, Cloud, Waymo) interconnected, with dotted lines suggesting potential splits, highlighting the complexity of a Google breakup.
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Breaking Up Google? What History Teaches About Big Splits

The idea of breaking up Google’s parent company, Alphabet, is a hot topic. With governments around the world, especially in the U.S., looking closely at its power, investors are wondering what a split could mean for their shares. This isn’t the first time a giant company has faced a breakup. So, what can we learn…