Spotting the Next Financial Crisis
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A Modern Playbook for Spotting the Next Financial Crisis

Financial crises are often spoken of in the past tense, like historical cataclysms or “black swan” events that arrive without warning. But what if they aren’t? What if, instead of random bolts from the blue, they are the predictable final act of a long, slow, and observable process? The economists Hyman Minsky and Charles Kindleberger…

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Understanding Quantitative Tightening (QT) and impact on Treasury Yields

The Federal Reserve is in the midst of one of the most significant monetary policy operations in its history: the great unwinding of its multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet. This process, known as Quantitative Tightening (QT), is the reversal of the massive bond-buying programs (Quantitative Easing, or QE) that supported the economy through the 2008 financial crisis…

Reverse Repurchase Agreement
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The Great Reallocation: How $2.5 Trillion Left the Fed Without Breaking Markets

Between mid-2023 and early 2025, a staggering ~$2.5 trillion quietly vanished from a key Federal Reserve facility. This cash hoard, held in the Fed’s Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreement (ON RRP) facility, had ballooned after the pandemic, serving as a parking lot for money market funds (MMFs) awash in liquidity. Its rapid decline sparked fears of…

Is gold truly a safe haven?
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Is Gold Still the Ultimate Safe Haven? A Data-Driven Guide for Investors

Gold has been on a historic run, smashing records and leaving many investors wondering: Is it time to add some shine to my portfolio? For centuries, gold has been the go-to asset in times of trouble. When markets panic, the old wisdom says to buy gold.    But does that wisdom still hold true? The answer is…

yield curve recession-indicator broken
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Is the Yield Curve Still the Market’s Best Recession Predictor?

For decades, Wall Street traders have watched one indicator above all others to predict economic downturns: the inverted yield curve. When short-term Treasury rates climb above long-term rates, investors brace for recession. But after the longest inversion in recent history failed to produce the recession it promised, a critical question emerges: has this legendary signal…

Discover how artificial intelligence will reshape the US economy, workforce, and society by 2030. Explore key sectors, job trends, investment surges, and policy shifts driving the AI revolution in America.
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How Artificial Intelligence Will Transform America by 2030

The United States stands at the precipice of an artificial intelligence revolution that will fundamentally reshape the economy, workforce, and society over the next three to five years. With AI investments surging and new policies removing regulatory barriers, America is positioning itself to maintain global AI dominance while navigating unprecedented technological transformation. Economic Impact: Trillions…