Section 1: Letter to the Financial Investor The Physicality of the Cloud For decades, the definition of “Real Assets” was immutable: toll roads, pipelines, and power grids. These assets were prized for their monopolistic positioning, high barriers to entry, and inflation-linked cash flows. Today, we argue that a new asset class has not only joined…
Michael Burry is back in the headlines. It looks like he is reloading the “Big Short” cannon—this time aiming at the AI sector. We’re talking about a reported $1.1 billion notional short against NVIDIA and Palantir. (However, there were recent reports stating that Burry has already exited this trade.) His thesis isn’t about the technology failing. It’s…
The bull put spread is a staple income strategy: short a lower-delta put, buy a farther OTM put, collect net credit, profit from time decay and upward drift. Yet this seemingly conservative structure harbors a hidden breakpoint. As the underlying declines, the short put’s delta accelerates non-linearly. When it reaches 0.40 delta, the position’s gamma…
Earnings announcements create the perfect storm for options traders: implied volatility collapses while directional risk explodes. For senior traders managing concentrated positions, this isn’t just about P&L—it’s about survival. The scenario we’ll dissect today represents the #1 cause of unexpected capital calls in professional options portfolios: a low-probability short put that morphs into a high-delta…
The “Wheel” is one of the most popular options strategies for generating income. At its core, it’s a systematic process: you sell cash-secured puts on a stock you’re willing to own. If you get assigned, you then sell covered calls against those shares. But as any Wheel trader knows, the real challenge isn’t the “what.” It’s…
1. Executive Summary Quantum computing has transitioned from pure research into a capital-intensive commercial race, with global investment exceeding 1.25 billion USD in the first quarter of 2025 alone—more than double the prior year—and over 4.4 billion USD deployed across 2024. For public-market investors, the sector presents a portfolio of asymmetric opportunities characterized by extreme…
A deep dive into one of Wall Street’s most reliable long-term indicators—and why its warning signals in 2025 are more complicated than they appear. It’s the question on every investor’s mind as we head into the final months of 2025: After a remarkable run, is the stock market dangerously overvalued? Pick your favorite news headline,…
Financial crises are often spoken of in the past tense, like historical cataclysms or “black swan” events that arrive without warning. But what if they aren’t? What if, instead of random bolts from the blue, they are the predictable final act of a long, slow, and observable process? The economists Hyman Minsky and Charles Kindleberger…
The Federal Reserve is in the midst of one of the most significant monetary policy operations in its history: the great unwinding of its multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet. This process, known as Quantitative Tightening (QT), is the reversal of the massive bond-buying programs (Quantitative Easing, or QE) that supported the economy through the 2008 financial crisis…
Between mid-2023 and early 2025, a staggering ~$2.5 trillion quietly vanished from a key Federal Reserve facility. This cash hoard, held in the Fed’s Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreement (ON RRP) facility, had ballooned after the pandemic, serving as a parking lot for money market funds (MMFs) awash in liquidity. Its rapid decline sparked fears of…